Dallas Mavericks (60-35, 55-39-1 ATS) @ Golden State Warriors (61-32, 46-43-4 ATS), 9 p.m. ET.
Lines/News: The Warriors are a 5.5-point favorite in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. The O/U is 214. The Mavericks won the last meeting, 122-113, on March 3 in Dallas. The Mavericks also took the season series, 3-1. Dallas is 6-4 straight up over their last 10 games. The Warriors are 7-3 straight up over their last 10. The Mavericks are 36-58-1 to the Over and the Heat 42-49-2. Conversely, both teams this year are 107-78-3 to the Under (57.8%).
Mavericks Trends: The Over is 1-4 in Mavericks games in their last five games. The Mavericks are 6-1 against the spread (ATS) against the Warriors on the road in their last seven games and 5-1 ATS after two days of rest in their last six games.
- Can Dallas continue to stay hot against the Warriors on the road? You can find the best odds for Mavericks +5.5 (-105) at PointsBet Sportsbook
Warriors Trends: The Over is 5-0 in Warriors games after their last game stayed under the points total in their last five games. The Warriors are 7-2 ATS at home in their last nine games and 2-6 ATS against a team with a winning record in the last eight instances.
Player Trends: Dallas Mavericks Luka Doncic (O/U 33.5 points) scored 34+ points in three of his 10 (30%) games in the playoffs (avg. 31.5). He’s scored 34+ points in 10 of his 37 (27%) on the road this season (avg. 27.8). He averaged 31.50 points in four games against the Warriors this season (41, 34, 25, 28).
Golden State Warriors Steph Curry (O/U 27.5 points) scored 28+ points in six of his 11 (54.55%) playoff games this season (avg. 26.9). He’s scored 28+ points in five of his last five (100%) games at home (avg. 31.0) and 20 points in four games against the Mavs this season (21, 27, 18, 14).
- Will Curry start off the series with a bang tonight? You can find the best odds for Over 27.5 (-105) at DraftKings Sportsbook