NBA Betting Preview: Celtics Favored To Take 3-2 Series Lead

Celtics forward Jayson Tatum (0)
Image Credit: Jim Rassol-USA TODAY Sports

Boston Celtics  (61-36, 54-41-2 ATS) @ Miami Heat (63-34, 55-41-1 ATS), 8:30 p.m. ET

Lines/News: Another blowout for the NBA last night.  The Mavs were up 29 points in the second half before making a run to make the score look respectable. There were rumblings that two Heat players did not travel back to Miami with the team due to COVID issues, but these rumors are reportedly false. The Celtics are two-point favorites in Miami. Both teams are ravaged by injuries, with three Celtics out or questionable and five Heat players questionable. The O/U is 204. Boston waltzed in Game 4, 102-82, at home. The Celtics are 6-4 straight up over their last 10 games, and the Heat are 6-4 straight up, too. The Celtics on the season are 47-48-2 to the Over and the Heat 54-43.

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Celtics Trends: The Celtics are 10-1 ATS on the road in their last 11 games. The Celtics are 5-1 ATS as away favorites in their last six games.

Heat Trends: The Heat are 9-2 ATS at home in their last 11 games. The Heat are 6-1 ATS after they failed to cover in their last seven tries.

Player Trends: Boston Celtics Jayson Tatum (O/U 28.5 points) has scored 29+ points in nine of his 15 (60%) games in the playoffs this season (avg. 27.2). He’s scored 29+ points in seven of his last eight (87.5%) games following a game where he made at least 10 free throws (avg. 35.3). He’s averaged 21.4 points in seven games against the Heat this season, going over just twice.

  • Can Tatum have another big game tonight? You can find the odds for Over 28.5 (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook 
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Miami Heat Jimmy Butler (O/U 24.5 points) has scored 25+ points in seven of his 14 (50%) games in the playoffs this season (avg. 26.5 per gm). He’s scored 25+ points in four of his last 21 (19%) after a loss (avg. 19.2). He’s averaged 21.3 points in six games against the Celtics this season.