Golden State Warriors (63-32, 49-43-4 ATS) @ Dallas Mavericks (60-38, 55-42-1 ATS), 9 p.m. ET
Lines/News: The Mavericks are one-point favorites to avert the sweep, trailing 3-0 in the Western Conference Finals. The O/U is 215.5. The Warriors won Game 3 in Dallas 109-100. The Warriors are 8-2 straight up over their last 10 games with a four-game winning streak. The Mavericks are 4-6. The Warriors are 43-51-2 to the Over this year and the Mavs an incredible 37-60-1. Two of the prior three games have been Under.
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Warriors Trends: The Over is 6-1 in Warriors games after the last game stayed under the points total in their last seven instances. The Warriors are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) on the road in their last five games. The Warriors are 9-3 ATS after they covered their last 12 games.
Mavericks Trends: The Over is 2-6 in Mavericks games in their last eight games. The Mavericks are 18-5 ATS after a loss in their last 23 tries and 10-3 ATS as favorites in their last 13 games.
Player Trends: Golden State Warriors Klay Thompson (O/U 19.5 points) scored 20+ points in five of his 14 (35.71%) in the playoffs this season (avg. 19.5). He’s scored 20+ points in 0 of his last 7 (0%) games after a win (avg. 15.6) and has averaged 16 in five games against the Mavs this season, not going Over 19.5 once (19, 15, 15, 15, 16, 15).
- Can Thompson have a big game to propel the Warriors to the NBA Finals? You can find the best odds for Over 19.5 (100) at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Dallas Mavericks Luka Doncic (O/U 34.5 points) has scored 35+ points in five of his 13 (38.46%) playoff games this season (avg. 32.1). He’s scored 35+ points in one of his last six (16.67%) at home (avg. 30.7). Doncic has averaged 32.6 points in seven games against the Warriors this season and has gone over in three of his last four (40, 42, 20, 41).