Miami Heat (63-33, 54-40-1 ATS) @ Boston Celtics (60-36, 53-41-2 ATS), 8:30 p.m. ET.
Lines/News: The Celtics are 6.5-point favorites to even the series at 2-2. The O/U is 207.5. Jimmy Butler is questionable with a knee injury suffered in Game 3, though this inflammation has been an ongoing problem. The Heat won Game 3 109-103 on May 21, 2022, in Boston. The Heat are 7-3 straight up over their last 10 games. The Celtics are 5-5. The Heat on the season is 54-42 to the Over and the Celtics 47-47-2.
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Heat Trends: The Heat are 19-8 against the spread (ATS) as underdogs in their last 27 games. They are 4-1 ATS against the Celtics on the road in their last five games. The Over is 12-3 in the last 15 Heat games when the points total is less than 210. The points total for Game 4 is 207.5.
Celtics Trends: The Celtics are 5-0 ATS after a loss in their last five instances. The Over is 5-2 in Celtics games in their last seven games.
- Can Boston bounce back after a tough Game 3? You can find the Celtics at -6 (-110) on DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Player Trends: Miami Heat Bam Adebayo (O/U 16.5 points) scored 17+ points in five of his 14 (35.71%) in the playoffs, all this season (avg. 14.9). He’s scored 17+ points in two of his last eight (25%) games on the road. (avg. 16.3). He’s averaged 14.8 points per gm in 6 games against the Celts this season (31, 6, 10, 17, 12, 13).
Boston Celtics Jaylen Brown (O/U 24.5 points) has scored 25+ points in four of his 14 (28.6%) in the playoffs, all this season (avg. 23.7). He’s scored 25+ points in one of his last five (20%) after a loss (avg. 22.4 per gm). He’s averaged 27 points in six games against the Heat this season (40, 24, 24, 28, 29, 17).