NBA Betting Preview: Heat Small Favorite In Game 1 Vs Celtics

Miami Heat forward Jimmy Butler (22)
Image Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Boston Celtics (59-34, 52-39-2 ATS) @ Miami Heat (61-32, 53-39-1 ATS), 8:30 p.m. ET.

Lines/News:  The Heat are two-point favorites in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The O/U is 203.5. These teams played three times this regular season and the Celtics won the regular-season series 2-1. The average margin of victory was 18.7 points. Marcus Smart underwent an MRI on his sprained foot; it came back clean and he may play Game 1. In their last meeting on March 30 in Boston, the Heat won, 106-98. Both teams are 7-3 straight up in their last 10 games. The Celtics on the season are 44-47-2 to the Over and the Heat 51-42.

Celtics Trends: The Over is 2-5 in Celtics games in their last seven games. The Celtics are 8-0 against the spread (ATS) as underdogs in their last eight games and 9-0 ATS on the road in their last nine.

  • Can the Celtics remain undefeated as underdogs in the playoff? You can find the best number for Boston +2.5 (-119) at BetRivers Sportsbook
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Heat Trends: The Over is 2-9 in the last 11 Heat games. The Heat are 8-1 ATS at home in their last nine games and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games

Player Trends: Boston Celtics Grant Williams (O/U 8.5 points) has scored 9+ points in six of his 11 (54.55%) in the playoffs this season (avg. 11.0). He’s scored 9+ points in one of his last five (20%) games against a top 10 defense like the Heat (avg. 6.4). He’s averaged 5.7 points in three games against the Heat this season.

Miami Heat Jimmy Butler (O/U 24.5 points) scored 25+ points in five of his 10 (50%) games this postseason (avg. 28.7). He’s scored 25+ points in one of his last six (16.67%) games at home (avg. 24.3). He’s averaged 22 points in two games against the Celtics this season.

  • Will Butler help the Heat jump out to a 1-0 series lead with a big game tonight? You can find Over 24.5 (-115) at DraftKings Sportsbook
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