NFC Championship Betting Trends: Rams-49ers

Aaron Donald #99 of the Los Angeles Rams waits for the start of play during a 34-24 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at SoFi Stadium on September 26, 2021 in Inglewood, California.
Image Credit: Harry How/Getty Images

Sunday – NFC Championship

San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angles Rams

(Line: LAR -3.5, O/U 45.5)

San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers are 35-35 against the spread (ATS) since 2018. That’s minus-$350 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, however, San Francisco posted productive ATS marks when encountering teams with winning records (19-16, $140), serving as the betting underdog (19-12, $580) and playing on the road (20-16, $240). The ATS numbers for 2021 are similarly solid, with the Niners going 11-8 overall ($220), 7-4 on the road ($260) and 4-1 as the betting underdog ($290). In another trend, the 49ers have successfully covered their last nine games played in January ($900). San Francisco ranked fifth in defensive sacks this season (48). The Niners offense ranked seventh in total offense (375.7 yards per game) and 13th in scoring offense (25.1 ppg).

Los Angeles Rams

The Rams are 37-33-2 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s $70 from a straight $110 bet. For this period, Los Angeles posted mixed ATS marks when facing NFC competition (31-22-1, $680), kicking off in the Pacific Time Zone (26-19-2, $510) … but also playing at home (17-16-2, minus-$60). The 2021 ATS numbers are encouraging, with the Rams going 10-9 overall ($10),  5-4 at home ($60), 7-5 kicking off in the Pacific Time Zone ($150) and 9-5 when encountering NFC foes ($350). In other trends, the Rams are 7-1 ATS when tracking the last eight times their weekly opponent rushed for more than 100 yards the previous game ($590). Conversely, Los Angeles has failed to cover its last nine battles with San Francisco (minus-$990) … when the Rams are moneyline favorites by less than -350. (The Rams are -182 for Sunday.) Los Angeles owned top-10 rankings in three major offensive categories this season – fifth in passing offense (273.1 yards per game), seventh in scoring offense (27.1 ppg) and ninth in total offense (372.1 yards). The Rams defense also had top-three rankings with sacks (50) and interceptions (19).

Total Trends

This season, San Francisco and Los Angeles are 8-11 and 10-8-1 with the Over, respectively, for a combined 18-19-1 (minus-$290). In other trends, San Francisco is 3-12 with the Over, when chronicling the last 15 times its weekly opponent rushed for less than 75 yards the previous game (minus-$1020). Also, charting their last six head-to-head meetings, the 49ers and Rams own combined averages of 44.5 points per game — slightly below Sunday’s 45.5 total.