NBA Betting Preview: Warriors Look To Close Out Nuggets In Game 5

Klay Thompson #11 of the Golden State Warriors stands on court against the Washington Wizards at the Capital One Arena on March 27, 2022 in Washington, DC
Image Credit: Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

Denver Nuggets (49-37, 37-48-1 ATS) @ Golden State Warriors (56-30, 44-38-4 ATS), 10 p.m. ET

Lines/News: The Warriors are 9.5-point favorites to clinch the series, as they take a 3-1 lead into Game 5. The O/U is 226.5. Denver won Game 4, 126-121, in Denver. The Nuggets are 4-6 straight up over their last 10 games. The Warriors are 8-2. The Nuggets are 48-36-2 to the Over this year and the Warriors 39-45-2.

Nuggets Trends: The Over is 5-0 in the last five Nuggets games. The Nuggets are 2-7 against the spread (ATS) against the Warriors on the road in their last nine games. The Nuggets are 5-2 ATS as away underdogs in their last seven instances.

Warriors Trends: The Over is 5-0 in the last five Warriors games. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS against the Nuggets in their last six games and 5-2 ATS as home favorites in their last seven instances.

Player Trends: Denver Nuggets Nikola Jokic (O/U 30.5 points) scored 31+ points in two of his four (50%) games in the playoffs this season (avg. 31.3). He’s scored 31+ points in six of his 27 (22.22%) when his team is the underdog this season (avg. 26.0).

Golden State Warriors Klay Thompson (O/U 23.5 points) has scored 24+ points in six of his last eight (75%) in the playoffs (avg. 25.9). He’s scored 24+ points in four of his last 17 (23.53%) after his team failed to cover (avg. 18.6) and in 5 of his last 20 home games (avg. 21.8).