Cowboys-Chargers Trends: Week 2

CeeDee Lamb #88 of the Dallas Cowboys runs with the ball against the New Orleans Saints during a game at the the Caesars Superdome on December 02, 2021 in New Orleans, Louisiana.
Image Credit: Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images


Dallas Cowboys @ Los Angeles Chargers (Line: -3.5, O/U: 54.5)

Cowboys Trends

Among the trends relevant to this game, since the 2018 season (including this year’s Week 1 opener), the Cowboys are 24-25 against the spread (ATS). That’s a cumulative minus-$350 on a straight $110 bet.

For this same timeline of three-plus years, Dallas owns ATS marks of 13-8 as the betting underdog ($420), 6-6 versus AFC opponents (minus-$660), 0-3 when playing in the Pacific Time Zone (minus-$330) and 11-14 on the road (minus-$440).

After one week of 2021 action, the Cowboys own top-three rankings with total offense (451.0 yards per game) and passing yards (391.0 yards per contest). Conversely, Dallas posted bottom-10 rankings with total defense (431.0 yards per game), passing yards allowed (379.0 per game) and scoring defense (33.0 points per game).

Chargers Trends

Among the relevant trends here, the Chargers have a 23-24-2 ATS record since the start of the 2018 season (minus-$340). Within this period of three-plus years (including the 2021 opener), Los Angeles has ATS marks of 8-5 versus NFC opponents ($250), 7-16-1 at home (minus-$1060), 12-17-1 as the betting favorite (minus-$670) and 6-6 during the month of September (minus-$60).

For the 2021 season, the Chargers own Top-10 rankings in total offense (ninth overall, 424.0 yards per contest) and passing offense (fifth, 334.0 yards per game). On the flip side, the Chargers led all pass defenses in Week 1, allowing only 133 yards. In other categories, Los Angeles ranks ninth in total defense (259.0 yards) and seventh in scoring defense (16.0 points allowed).

Total Trends

The Cowboys have toppled the Over in 27 of their last 49 games, dating back to 2018 ($280). The Chargers, in turn, have eclipsed the Over only 24 times in the same 49-game span (minus-$350). All combined, that’s a 51-47 track record with the Over (minus-$70). Regarding the Week 2 O/U of 54.5 points, charting the last six starts of Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott, the cumulative averages for the six Dallas games comes out to 67.2 points per contest.

The Chargers’ last six starts involving QB Justin Herbert aren’t as high, but the combined totals still shake out to 45 points per game.

In other trends, the Cowboys have surpassed the Over in seven of their last eight games when the point total exceeded 50 ($590). For the Chargers, they’re 1-7 ATS (minus-$670) in their last eight meetings with NFC East clubs that scored more than 28 points the previous week.