Thursday Night Football Trends: Week 9

Michael Carter #32 of the New York Jets in action against the Buffalo Bills at MetLife Stadium on November 14, 2021 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
Image Credit: Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts

(Line: IND -10.5, O/U: 46)

New York Jets

Among the relevant trends here, the Jets are 20-34-1 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s minus-$1,740 from a straight $110 bet. For that chaotic period, New York also posted subpar ATS marks when playing on the road (8-20, minus-$1400), facing AFC competition (15-25-1, minus-$1250), taking on teams with a losing record (7-17, minus-$1170) and serving as the betting underdog (18-27-1, minus-$1170). The ATS numbers for 2021 are similarly shaky, with the Jets owning a 2-5 overall record (minus-$350) and 0-4 mark on the road (minus-$440). Citing one positive trend, the Jets are 9-2 ATS within their last 11 outings of carrying a road losing streak at four-plus games ($680). After eight weeks of play, the Jets’ anemic offense ranks 19th in passing offense (230.9 yards per week), 28th in total offense (306.4 yards per game), 30th in scoring offense (16.3 points per week), and dead-last in rushing offense, merely averaging 75.6 ground yards per game.

Indianapolis Colts

The Colts have endured mixed ATS results over the last three-plus seasons. For this period, the team has a 28-25-3 overall record ($50), 12-15-1 mark at home (minus-$450), 10-14-2 mark versus teams with a losing record (minus-$540), and 18-15-1 mark as the betting favorite ($150). However, in 2021, Indy sports a 5-3 ATS record ($170), 3-0 ATS mark versus clubs with losing records ($300), and a 3-2 ATS record against AFC foes ($80). Citing another upbeat trend, the Colts are 7-1 ATS when chronicling the last eight times a weekly opponent passed for 300-plus yards the previous week ($590). Eight weeks into this season, the Colts offense ranks 12th overall in rushing offense (122.0 yards per game), 14th in scoring offense (25.0 points per week), 16th in total offense (350.9 yards per game), and 23rd in passing offense (228.9 yards per week).

Total Trends

The Jets have eclipsed the Over in just 18 of their last 39 games dating back to 2019 (minus-$510). Conversely, the Colts are 23-17 with the Over ($430) during the same timeline of regular-season action. All combined, that’s a 41-38 track record with the Over (minus-$80) or, if betting the Under, minus-$710. For 2021, New York and Indianapolis are 4-3 and 5-3 with the Over, respectively, for a combined 9-6 ($240). Citing other notable trends, the Jets are 2-8 with the Over (minus-$680), when tracking New York’s last 10 games of traveling more than 300 miles. Also, the Colts are 0-8 with the Over (minus-$880), when counting the team’s last eight games of being a moneyline favorite by more than -500. (Indy’s a -590 favorite for Thursday night.)