WEEK 10 THURSDAY NIGHT
Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins
(Line: MIA +7.5, O/U 46.5)
Baltimore Ravens
Among the relevant trends here, the Ravens are 31-23-2 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s $570 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, Baltimore also notched solid ATS marks when playing on the road (17-8-2, $820), kicking off in the Eastern Time Zone (24-21-2, $90), facing AFC competition (26-15-1, $950) and against teams with a losing record (13-9-2, $310). The ATS numbers for 2021 are less encouraging, with the Ravens owning a 3-5 overall record (minus-$250), 1-2 mark on the road (minus-$120) and 1-5 record as the betting favorite (minus-$450). After nine weeks of play, the Ravens offense ranks first overall in rushing offense (161.6 ground yards per game), second in total offense (427.9 yards per week), seventh in scoring offense (27.6 points per game) and eighth in passing offense (266.3 yards per week).
Miami Dolphins
Among the relevant trends here, the Dolphins are 31-26 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s $240 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, Miami posted robust ATS marks when playing at home (18-10, $700), taking on AFC competition (25-18, $520) and kicking off in the Eastern Time Zone (28-19, $710). The ATS numbers for 2021 are less flattering, at 3-6 overall (minus-$360), 1-3 at home (minus-$230), 2-4 as the betting underdog (minus-$240) and 2-5 when playing on the East Coast (minus-$350). Citing other notable trends, the Dolphins are 7-1 ATS from their last eight games of an opponent averaging more than 22 points per game that season ($590). Nine weeks into the season, the Dolphins offense ranks 23rd overall in passing offense (222.3 yards per week), 28th in scoring offense (17.2 points per game), 30th in total offense (297.4 yards per week) and 32nd in rushing offense (75.1 yards per game).
Total Trends
The Ravens have toppled the Over 21 times in their last 40 games dating back to 2019 ($10). Conversely, the Dolphins tallied a 20-21 record with the Over (minus-$310) during the same timeline of regular-season action. All combined, that’s a 41-40 track record with the Over (minus-$300) or, if betting the Under, minus-$510. Baltimore and Miami are 5-3 and 4-5 with the Over for a combined 9-8 ($20). Citing other notable trends, Miami has an 0-10-1 record with the Over (minus-$1100), when charting the last 11 times an AFC North opponent scored 25 or more points the previous week. Baltimore has an 11-2 record with the Over ($880), when tracking the last 13 times a Ravens opponent ran for less than 100 yards the previous contest. Conversely, Baltimore has a 2-9 mark with the Over (minus-$790), when chronicling the previous 11 times the club traveled more than 100 miles.