Super Bowl 56 Betting Trends: Rams-Bengals

Jalen Ramsey #5 of the Los Angeles Rams in action against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium on October 17, 2021 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Los Angeles Rams defeated the New York Giants 38-11.
Image Credit: Mike Stobe/Getty Images

Super Bowl 56 Trends

Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals

(Line: CIN +4, O/U 48.5)

Los Angeles Rams

The Rams are 37-34-2 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s minus-$40 from a straight $110 bet. For this period, Los Angeles posted mixed ATS marks when facing AFC competition (6-11-1, minus-$610), representing the betting favorite (29-29-2, minus-$290) … but also kicking off in the Pacific Time Zone (26-20-2, $400). The 2021 ATS numbers are also underwhelming, with the Rams going 10-10 overall (minus-$100), 5-5 at SoFi Stadium (minus-$50), 1-4 versus AFC foes (minus-$340), and 4-6 against winning teams (minus-$260). In other trends, the Rams are 1-11 ATS the last 12 times they had a winning streak of at least three games (minus-$1110). Los Angeles owned top-10 rankings in three major offensive categories during the regular season – fifth in passing offense (273.1 yards per game), seventh in scoring offense (27.1 ppg), and ninth in total offense (372.1 yards). The Rams defense also had top-three rankings with sacks (50) and interceptions (19).

Cincinnati Bengals

Factoring in recent trends, the Bengals are 37-30-1 against the spread (ATS) since 2018. That’s $400 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, Cincinnati notched strong ATS results when kicking off in the Pacific Time Zone (4-0, $400), facing teams with winning records (21-12, $780), and serving as the betting underdog (28-22-1, $380). The 2021 ATS numbers are similarly stellar, at 13-7 overall ($530), 8-3 as the betting underdog ($470), and 9-2 versus winning clubs ($680). Trend-wise, the Bengals have covered the spread in their last 11 Pacific Time Zone kickoffs ($1100). Also, Cincinnati has a 1-6-1 ATS against the NFC West when charting the last eight times the pregame total was above 45 points. (Super Sunday has a 48.5 total.) This season’s Bengals had a No. 7 ranking for both passing offense (averaging 259.0 yards per game) and scoring offense (27.1 ppg). Cincinnati also had the league’s fifth-best rush defense, allowing 102.5 ground yards per game.

Total Trends

For the season, Los Angeles and Cincinnati are 8-12 and 10-9-1 with the Over, respectively, for a combined 18-21-1 (minus-$510). In other trends, the Rams are 8-1 with the Over ($690), when tracking the last nine times their opponent had four or more red-zone possessions the previous game, as the Bengals did in the AFC Championship. Los Angeles has an 0-9-1 ATS record from the last 10 times an AFC North opponent averaged more than 100 rushing yards per game (minus-$990). Also, Cincinnati has an 11-1 Under record from the last 12 times it scored 27 or fewer points in their previous game ($990). And charting their last five head-to-head meetings (dating back to 2003), the Rams and Bengals produced combined averages of 34.2 points per game — well below Super Sunday’s 48.5 total.