SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: WEEK 9
Tennessee Titans @ Los Angeles Rams
(Line: LAR -7.5, O/U 53.5)
Among the relevant trends here, the Titans are 29-26-1 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s $40 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, Tennessee also enjoyed positive ATS marks when playing on the road (15-13, $70), facing NFC competition (8-6, $140), serving as the betting underdog (16-10, $500) and when kicking off in the Pacific Time Zone (2-0, $200). The ATS numbers for 2021 are quite robust, with the Titans touting a 6-2 overall record ($380), 3-1 mark on the road ($190) and 4-0 record as the betting underdog ($400). For another cool trend, the Titans are 10-0 ATS ($1000) from their last 10 games of being moneyline underdogs beyond +200. (Tennessee’s at +275 for Sunday night.) After eight weeks of play, the Titans offense ranks fourth overall in rushing offense (147.6 ground yards per game), sixth in scoring offense (28.4 points per week), 11th in total offense (377.1 yard per game) and 22nd in passing offense (229.5 yards per week).
Los Angeles Rams
Among the relevant trends here, the Rams are 30-24-2 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s $360 from a straight $110 bet. For that prolific period, Los Angeles posted strong ATS marks when playing at home (14-12-2, $80), representing the betting favorite (25-20-2, $300), taking on teams with a winning record (10-8-1, $120) and when kicking off in the Pacific Time Zone (21-15-2, $450). The ATS numbers for 2021 are on the mediocre side, with the Rams going 4-4 overall (minus-$40), 2-2 at home (minus-$20) and 3-4 as the betting underdog (minus-$140). For other notable trends, the Rams are 15-3 ATS from their last 18 games of not covering the point spread the previous week ($1170). Conversely, Los Angeles has a 1-10 ATS record from the last 11 times it carried a winning streak of two or more games (minus-$1000). Eight weeks into the season, the Rams’ dynamic offense ranks fourth overall in passing offense (301.8 yards per game), fifth in total offense (405.9 yards per week), fifth in scoring offense (30.6 points per game) and 19th in rushing offense (104.1 ground yards per week).
The Titans have toppled the Over 27 times in their last 40 games, including one push, dating back to 2019 ($1380). The Rams haven’t fared so well, going 15-25 with the Over (minus-$1250) during the same timeline of regular-season games. All combined, that’s a 42-37-1 track record with the Over ($130) or, if betting the Under, minus-$920. For 2021, Tennessee and Los Angeles are 5-3 and 4-4 with the Over for a combined 9-7 ($130). Charting another notable trend, the Titans are 0-10-1 with the Under (minus-$1100), when tracking the last 11 times a weekly foe outscored its previous opponents by more than five points per game. (L.A. has an average point differential of 9.63 this season.)