SUNDAY AFTERNOON: WEEK 12
Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers
(Line: -1.5, O/U 47)
Los Angeles Rams
Among the relevant trends here, the Rams are 30-26-2 (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s $140 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, Los Angeles posted solid ATS marks when playing on the road (16-13, $170), serving as the betting favorite (25-22-2, $80) and facing NFC competition (25-17-1, $630). The ATS numbers for 2021 are subpar, with the Rams going 4-6 overall (minus-$260), 3-6 as the betting favorite (minus-$360) and 0-1 when kicking off in the Central Time Zone (minus-$110). Also, Los Angeles has a 12-1 ATS record ($1090) when tracking its last 13 games of having a scoring differential of -6 or more the previous week. Conversely, the Rams are 0-6 ATS versus the Packers (minus-$660) when chronicling the last six times the franchise traveled less than 2,000 miles. For the season, the Rams offense ranks fifth in passing yards (289.3 yards per game), sixth in total offense (387.2 yards per week), seventh in scoring offense (27.1 points per game) and 24th in rushing offense (97.9 yards per week). L.A. also has the league’s No. 10 rush defense, yielding averages of 105.2 yards per game.
Green Bay Packers
Factoring in recent trends, the Packers are 35-23-1 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s $970 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, Green Bay notched robust ATS results when playing at home (18-10, $700), representing the betting underdog (10-6-1, $340) and facing teams with winning records (18-8, $920). The ATS numbers for 2021 are similarly stellar, at 9-2 overall ($680), 4-0 at home ($400) and 6-2 versus NFC foes ($380). Green Bay has the NFL’s No. 5 scoring defense, allowing 19.5 points per game. The Packers offense ranks 13th in passing offense (243.0 yards per week), 18th in total offense (351.0 yards per game), 18th in scoring offense (18.5 points per week) and 20th in rushing offense (108.0 yards per game).
The Rams have toppled the Over just 16 times in their last 42 games, including one push, dating back to 2019 (minus-$1150). The Packers have been equally anemic within the same timeline of regular-season action, going 18-25 with the Over (minus-$950). All combined, that’s a 34-50-1 track record with the Over (minus-$2100) or, if betting the Under — $1,260. In 2021, Los Angeles and Green Bay are 5-4-1 and 3-8 with the Over for a combined 8-12-1 (minus-$520). Citing other key trends, the Packers are 4-1 with the Under against the Rams ($290), when tracking the last five times Green Bay scored 34 or fewer points the previous week. Also, Green Bay has a 2-8 record with the Under (minus-$660) when its current opponent averaged less than 0.2 points per play the previous week.