Rams-Lions Trends: Week 7

Matthew Stafford #9 of the Los Angeles Rams throws the ball during pregame warm-ups before the game against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium on October 31, 2021 in Houston, Texas.
Image Credit: Carmen Mandato/Getty Images


Detroit Lions @ Los Angeles Rams

(Line: LAR -15.5, O/U: 50.5)

Detroit Lions

Among the relevant trends here, the Lions are 25-28-1 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s minus-$580 from a straight $110 bet. In that period, Detroit also posted subpar ATS marks when playing on the road (13-13-1, minus-$130), facing NFC competition (18-21-1, minus-$510), taking on teams with a winning record (9-13, minus-$530) and serving as the betting underdog (20-21-1, minus-$310). The ATS numbers for 2021 are somewhat bland, with the Lions owning a 3-3 record (minus-$30), 1-2 on the road (minus-$120) and 2-2 versus NFC opponents (minus-$20).

In another notable trend, Detroit has a 2-10 ATS record when chronicling the last 12 times the team rushed for fewer than 75 yards the week prior (minus-$900). After six weeks of play, the Lions offense ranks 23rd overall in rushing offense (averaging 91.8 ground yards per week), 25th in passing offense (229.2 yards per game), 27th in total offense (321.0 yards per week) and 28th in scoring offense (18.2 points per game).

Los Angeles Rams

The Rams have enjoyed stellar ATS results over the last three-plus seasons. For that period, the team has a 30-22-2 overall ATS record ($580), 14-11-2 mark at home ($190), 14-9-1 versus teams with a winning record ($410), 25-18-2 as the betting favorite ($520) and a 25-15-1 ATS mark versus NFC opponents ($850). In 2021, Los Angeles owns a 4-2 ATS overall record ($180), 2-1 ATS mark at home ($90) and 4-1 ATS against NFC clubs ($290). Citing other notable trends, the Rams are 7-1 ATS from the last eight times their weekly opponent had an ongoing road losing streak of three or more games ($590).

Los Angeles also has a 0-7-1 ATS mark from its last eight times of out-gaining an NFC North opponent by more than 40 yards the week prior (minus-$770). Six weeks into this season, the Rams’ explosive offense ranks fourth overall in passing offense (averaging 297.5 yards per game), sixth in scoring offense (29.8 points per week), ninth in total offense (401.1 yards per game) and 22nd in rushing offense (103.5 ground yards per week).

Total Trends

The Lions have toppled the Over in 22 of their last 38 games dating back to 2019 ($440). Conversely, the Rams are 15-22-1 with the Over (minus-$920) during the same span of regular-season games. All combined, that’s a 37-38-1 track record with the Over (minus-$480) or, if betting the Under, minus-$270).

For 2021, Detroit and Los Angeles are 2-4 and 4-1-1 with the Over, respectively, for a combined 6-5-1 ($50). Also, when citing the teams’ last six head-to-head encounters, dating back to 2009, the Lions and Rams have posted combined scoring averages of 44.5 points — well below this week’s O/U of 50.5. In another notable trend, Detroit has an 8-1 record with the Under, when charting the club’s last nine games of being double-digit-point underdogs ($690).