NFL Futures: Aaron Rodgers Under His Passing Yard Total?

Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers celebrates after beating the Washington Football Team 24-10 in the game at Lambeau Field on October 24, 2021 in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
Image Credit: Stacy Revere/Getty Images

This week, BetPrep Sharp Brad Feinberg discusses his top MLB and NFL futures (as of July 20, 2022) and some Juan Soto talk with host and BetPrep Editor Michael Salfino of The Athletic and FiveThirtyEight. Futures include the St. Louis Cardinals, Aaron Rodgers, Chase Young, Trevon Diggs, the Jacksonville Jaguars, Detroit Lions, and more.

Here’s an excerpt from that episode:

Aaron Rodgers Under 4,120.5 Passing Yards

Brad Feinberg: The last three years, he’s averaged 258.7 yards per game. That’s 4,398 yards in 17 games. But is he going to play 17 games? He’s going to be 39 this season. That makes him more susceptible to injury. Also, he probably doesn’t play Week 17 by design, either the Packers will have clinched the division (I hope not given all the Vikings action I have) or they will be locked into a wildcard spot and Green Bay will want to rest him. So at 16 games, his three-year average in the current offense puts him right at the number: 4,139 yards. Now, that assumes he’ll still be playing at an MVP level. But at 39 that’s not likely. Some guys like Peyton Manning lose it all at once. Many do. Even most. Tom Brady is the exception to the rule. Now, even if he plays the 16 games and has no decline in ability at his age, he’s still without Davante Adams and I think that costs him a couple of hundred yards at least, which is why I really like this bet. There are just a number of paths to win it.

For more of Brad’s picks, listen to the full Givin Futures Podcast here.