Monday Night Football Trends: Week 5

Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8) warms up prior to the game against the Minnesota Vikings at M&T Bank Stadium
Image Credit: Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports


Indianapolis Colts @ Baltimore Ravens

(Line: BAL -7, O/U: 46)

Indianapolis Colts

Among the relevant trends here, the Colts are 25-24-3 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s minus-$140 from a straight $110 bet. In that period, Indianapolis has endured uneven marks when playing on the road (14-10-2, $300), facing an AFC opponent (15-21-2, minus-$810) and serving as the betting underdog (8-10-2, minus-$300).

Also, for the month of October, dating back to 2018, the Colts have yielded sluggish ATS tallies involving overall record (6-5, $50), playing on the road (4-3, $70), encountering an AFC opponent (5-5, minus-$50) and representing the betting underdog (2-3, minus-$130).

After four weeks of 2021 play, Indy’s offense ranks 15th in rushing offense (112.0 yards per game), scoring offense (averaging 20.8 points per week), 21st in total offense (326.0 yards per game) and 25th in passing offense, averaging 214.0 yards per week.

Baltimore Ravens

Among the relevant trends, the Ravens have notched an impressive 30-20-2 record with ATS over the last three-plus seasons ($800). For that period, the club also has a 23-18-2 ATS mark when playing in the Eastern Time Zone ($320) and a 25-13-1 ATS record versus AFC opponents ($1070).

For Monday Night Football-only games since 2019, Baltimore has a 2-2 record with ATS (minus-$20); and for that same timeline of two-plus seasons, the Ravens have a 3-2-1 ATS mark during October ($80).

Four weeks into the 2021 season, the Ravens boast top-10 rankings with rushing offense (third overall, 164.5 ground yards per game), total offense (fourth, 420.0 yards per week) and scoring offense (eighth, averaging 26.3 points per game). Baltimore also ranks 13th in passing offense (258.8 yards per week).

Total Trends

The Colts have eclipsed the Over in 20 of their last 36 games dating back to the 2019 season ($240). The Ravens are tangibly worse in this category, posting an 18-18 record with the Over during the same span of regular-season games (minus-$180). All combined, that’s a 38-34 track record with the Over ($60 or, if betting the Under, minus-$780). In other notable trends, Indy owns an 8-1 record with the Over, when charting the last nine times in which the club collected fewer than 350 total yards the previous game ($690).

Conversely, the Colts are 3-13 with the Over, when citing the team’s last 16 games of being the implied underdog by more than a 60-percent ratio (minus-$1130). Baltimore has a 12-3 record with the Under, when chronicling the last 15 times the team passed for 300-plus yards the previous week ($870). On the flip side, the Ravens are 1-7 with the Over the last eight times the opponent for that week rushed for 125-plus yards the previous game (minus-$670).