Monday Night Football Trends: Week 14

Quarterback Kyler Murray #1 of the Arizona Cardinals drops back to pass during the NFL game against the Los Angeles Rams at State Farm Stadium on December 13, 2021 in Glendale, Arizona.
Image Credit: Christian Petersen/Getty Images


Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals 

(Line: ARI -2.5, O/U 51.5)

Los Angeles Rams

Among the relevant trends here, the Rams are 31-27-2 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s $130 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, Los Angeles posted positive ATS marks when playing on the road (16-14, $60), facing NFC competition (25-18-1, $520) and kicking off in the Pacific Time Zone (22-17-2, $330). The ATS numbers for 2021 are less encouraging, with the Rams going 5-7 overall (minus-$270), 2-4 on the road (minus-$240) and 4-4 against NFC foes (minus-$40). Los Angeles owns the league’s seventh-best rushing defense, allowing 100.4 ground yards per game. On offense, the Rams rank third in passing offense (289.0 yards per game), fifth in scoring offense (28.0 points), sixth in total offense (386.9 yards) and 23rd in rushing offense (97.9 yards).

Arizona Cardinals

Factoring in recent trends, the Cardinals are 32-26-2 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s minus-$340 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, Arizona had mixed ATS results when playing at home (12-17, minus-$670), representing the betting favorite (8-12, minus-$520) and encountering teams with winning records (11-14-1, minus-$440). The ATS numbers for 2021 are markedly better, at 9-3 overall ($570), 5-3 against NFC competition ($170), 3-1 versus winning clubs (3-1, $190) and 2-0 taking on top-five offenses ($200). Entering Week 14, Arizona has the NFL’s No. 4 scoring defense, giving up only 18.7 points per game. The Cardinals’ balanced offense ranks third in scoring offense (28.5 points per game), 10th in rushing offense (124.2 yards), 10th in total offense (368.8 yards) and 11th in passing offense (244.6 yards).

Total Trends

The Rams have eclipsed the Over only 17 times in their last 44 games, including one push, dating back to 2019 (minus-$1160). The Cardinals have been marginally better during the same timeline of regular-season games, going 20-23-1 with the Over (minus-$530). All combined, that’s a 37-49-2 track record with the Over (minus-$1690) or, if betting the Under, $830. In 2021, Los Angeles and Arizona are 6-5-1 and 6-6 with the Over for a combined 12-11-1 (minus-$10). Citing other trends, the Rams are a clean 11-1 with the Over, when tracking their last 12 games as a betting underdog ($990). Conversely, Los Angeles is 1-7-1 with the Over from the last nine times it collected more than 400 total yards the previous game (minus-$670). Also, the Rams and Cardinals are 5-1 with the Over, when counting the last six times Arizona covered the spread the previous week ($390). Conversely, Arizona has fallen below the Under in its last eight appearances on Monday Night Football (minus-$880).