MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: WEEK 10
Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers
(Line: SF +4, O/U 48.5)
Los Angeles Rams
Among the relevant trends here, the Rams are 30-25-2 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s $250 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, Los Angeles also notched robust ATS marks when playing on the road (16-12, $280), kicking off in the Pacific Time Zone (21-16-2, $340), serving as the betting favorite (25-21-2, $190) and taking on NFC foes (25-16-1, $740). The ATS numbers for 2021 are rather pedestrian, with the Rams sporting a 4-5 overall record (minus-$150), 2-2 mark on the road (minus-$20) and 3-5 record as the betting favorite (minus-$250). Citing other intriguing trends, the Rams are 10-1 ATS when chronicling the last 11 times the team scored 20 or fewer points the previous week ($890). On the flip side, Los Angeles has an 0-7 ATS mark versus San Francisco when counting the last seven times the Rams were favorites of -6.5 or less (minus-$770). After nine weeks of play, the Rams’ explosive offense ranks third overall in passing offense (296.3 yards per game), fourth in total offense (399.3 yards per week), fifth in scoring offense (29.0 points per game) and 20th in rushing offense (103.0 ground yards per week).
San Francisco 49ers
Among the relevant trends here, the 49ers are 24-32 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s minus-$1,120 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, San Fran had deflating ATS marks when playing at home (9-19, minus-$1190), taking on NFC competition (16-27, minus-$1370) and kicking off in the Pacific Time Zone (14-25, minus-$1350). The ATS numbers for 2021 are similarly shaky, at 2-6 overall (minus-$460), 0-4 at home (minus-$440), 0-1 as the betting underdog (minus-$110) and 2-5 when facing NFC foes (minus-$350). For another notable trend, San Francisco has an 0-8 ATS record (minus-$880) from when its last eight weekly opponents were averaging fewer than 120 yards rushing for a season. Nine weeks into 2021 action, the 49ers offense ranks 13th in passing offense (252.5 yards per week), 13th in total offense (365.6 yards per game), 14th in rushing offense (113.1 yards per week) and 18th in scoring offense (23.1 points per game).
The Rams have toppled the Over only 16 times in their last 41 games, including one push, dating back to 2019 (minus-$1040). Conversely, the Niners own a 21-18-1 record with the Over ($120) during the same timeline of regular-season action. All combined, that’s a 37-42-1 track record with the Over (minus-$920) or, if betting the Under, plus-$130. In 2021, Los Angeles and San Francisco are 5-3 and 5-3-1 with the Over for a combined 10-6-1 ($340). For another noteworthy trend, when charting the last six Rams-49ers matchups with game-time temperature at 60 degrees or higher, the Under is a clean 6-0 ($600).