Monday Night Football Trends: Week 1

Derek Carr #4 of the Las Vegas Raiders fades back to pass against the Cincinnati Bengals at Allegiant Stadium on November 21, 2021 in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Image Credit: Matthew Stockman/Getty Images

WEEK 1: MONDAY @ 8:25 p.m. EST

Baltimore Ravens @ Las Vegas Raiders (Line: +4, O/U: 50)

Ravens Trends

Relevant to this matchup, the Ravens have been consistently profitable for the betting community over the last three seasons. Charting against-the-spread (ATS) results since 2018, Baltimore has earned high ATS marks with overall record (28-18-2, plus-$820 on a series of $110 straight bets), playing on the road (16-6-2,  $940), serving as the betting favorite (19-7-2,  $1130) and when facing an AFC opponent (23-12-1,  $980). For the same three-year period, the Ravens are 2-1 ATS when playing on Monday Night Football ($90). One notable downside: Baltimore had a 0-1 ATS record last year (minus-$110) when favored by four or more points. The 2020 Ravens were an offensive juggernaut on two fronts, ranking first in team rushing (191.9 yards per game) and sixth in scoring offense (29.3 points per contest). The Baltimore defense was similarly stellar last season, posting top-10 finishes with scoring defense (second overall), passing yards allowed (sixth), total defense (seventh) and rushing yards allowed (ninth).

Raiders Trends

Middle-of-the-road tallies have been a constant over the last two seasons, with the Raiders going 16-16 overall in Against The Spread results (minus-$160), 8-8 at home (minus-$880) and 12-12 versus AFC opponents (minus-$120). On the plus side, for this same two-year stretch, the Raiders own a 4-3 ATS mark during the month of September ($70). The Las Vegas offense enjoyed robust results last season, ranking seventh in passing offense (263.6 yards per game), eighth in total offense (383.3 yards per contest) and 10th in scoring offense (27.1 per outing). The Raiders yielded middling results with the running attack last year (119.8 ground yards per contest), prompting the offseason addition of tailback Kenyan Drake (paired with Josh Jacobs). Things were shakier on the defensive side, with the Raiders posting bottom-10 rankings in scoring defense (30th overall), passing yards allowed (26th), total defense (25th) and rushing yards allowed (24th).

Total Trends

The Raiders were 3-0 with Over/Under results during September last year ($300). Conversely, the Ravens had an 0-3 mark with Over/Under during the same opening month (minus-$330). And last season, Las Vegas scored 27 or more points at home five times, whereas Baltimore crossed the same 27-point threshold five times in road outings. Also, when charting the last four head-to-head meetings, the Raiders and Ravens cumulatively averaged 55.7 points — comfortably above Monday’s O/U tally of 50 points. On the flip side, Baltimore hit the Under in seven of its last eight road games that involved a travel distance beyond 100 miles, this trip to Vegas is obviously well more than that.