Super Bowl 56 Trends
Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals
(Line: CIN +4, O/U 48.5)
Los Angeles Rams
The Rams are 37-34-2 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s minus-$40 from a straight $110 bet. For this period, Los Angeles posted mixed ATS marks when facing AFC competition (6-11-1, minus-$610), representing the betting favorite (29-29-2, minus-$290) … but also kicking off in the Pacific Time Zone (26-20-2, $400). The 2021 ATS numbers are also underwhelming, with the Rams going 10-10 overall (minus-$100), 5-5 at SoFi Stadium (minus-$50), 1-4 versus AFC foes (minus-$340), and 4-6 against winning teams (minus-$260). In other trends, the Rams are 1-11 ATS the last 12 times they had a winning streak of at least three games (minus-$1110). Los Angeles owned top-10 rankings in three major offensive categories during the regular season – fifth in passing offense (273.1 yards per game), seventh in scoring offense (27.1 ppg), and ninth in total offense (372.1 yards). The Rams defense also had top-three rankings with sacks (50) and interceptions (19).
Factoring in recent trends, the Bengals are 37-30-1 against the spread (ATS) since 2018. That’s $400 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, Cincinnati notched strong ATS results when kicking off in the Pacific Time Zone (4-0, $400), facing teams with winning records (21-12, $780), and serving as the betting underdog (28-22-1, $380). The 2021 ATS numbers are similarly stellar, at 13-7 overall ($530), 8-3 as the betting underdog ($470), and 9-2 versus winning clubs ($680). Trend-wise, the Bengals have covered the spread in their last 11 Pacific Time Zone kickoffs ($1100). Also, Cincinnati has a 1-6-1 ATS against the NFC West when charting the last eight times the pregame total was above 45 points. (Super Sunday has a 48.5 total.) This season’s Bengals had a No. 7 ranking for both passing offense (averaging 259.0 yards per game) and scoring offense (27.1 ppg). Cincinnati also had the league’s fifth-best rush defense, allowing 102.5 ground yards per game.
For the season, Los Angeles and Cincinnati are 8-12 and 10-9-1 with the Over, respectively, for a combined 18-21-1 (minus-$510). In other trends, the Rams are 8-1 with the Over ($690), when tracking the last nine times their opponent had four or more red-zone possessions the previous game, as the Bengals did in the AFC Championship. Los Angeles has an 0-9-1 ATS record from the last 10 times an AFC North opponent averaged more than 100 rushing yards per game (minus-$990). Also, Cincinnati has an 11-1 Under record from the last 12 times it scored 27 or fewer points in their previous game ($990). And charting their last five head-to-head meetings (dating back to 2003), the Rams and Bengals produced combined averages of 34.2 points per game — well below Super Sunday’s 48.5 total.