Miami Heat (63-35, 55-42-1 ATS) @ Boston Celtics (62-36, 55-41-2 ATS), 8:30 p.m. ET
Lines/News: Both teams are ravaged by injuries. Eight players are on the injury report, and only one has been ruled out (Sam Hauser), so there will be seven players who will have their status to be determined. The Celtics are 8.5 favorites to clinch the series in Game 6. The O/U is 200.5. Boston won Game 5 in Miami, 93-80. The Heat are 5-5 straight up over their last 10 games, the Celtics are 6-4. The Heat on the season is 54-44 to the Over and the Celtics 47-49-2.
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Heat Trends: The Heat are 5-2 against the spread (ATS) after a loss in their last seven tries. The Heat are 3-5 ATS against the Celtics this season. The Over is 8-1 in the last nine Heat games when the Heat is ML dogs by more than +300. (The Heat are +324 underdogs).
Celtics Trends: The Celtics are 11-4 ATS in the playoffs in their last 15 games. The Over is 11-0 in the last 11 Celtics games when the Celtics are favored by more than eight points. (The Celtics are 8.5-point favorites).
Player Trends: Miami Heat Bam Adebayo (O/U 16.5 points) scored 17+ points in six of his 16 (37.5%) games in the playoffs (avg. 14.7). He scored 17+ points in two of his last nine (22.2%) road games (avg. 15.4). He averaged 14.8 points per game in five games against the Celtics this series (18, 9, 31, 6, 10).
Boston Celtics Jayson Tatum (O/U 27.5 points) scored 28+ points in nine of his 16 (56.25%) games in the playoffs, all this season (avg. 26.9). He’s averaged 23.8 points in five games against the Heat this series (22, 31, 10, 27, 29).
- Can Tatum go off for a big game and a trip to the Finals? You can find the best odds for Over 27.5 (-105) at DraftKings Sportsbook.