WEEK 9 SUNDAY AFTERNOON
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers
(Line: SF -2, O/U 45.5)
Among the relevant trends here, the Titans are 29-25-2 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s $150 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, Arizona also notched solid ATS marks when playing on the road (17-9-2, $710), facing NFC competition (20-18-2, $20), serving as the betting underdog (22-14-2, $660) and against teams with a losing record (16-11, $390). The ATS numbers for 2021 are similarly robust, with the Cardinals owning a 6-2 overall record ($380), 4-0 mark on the road ($400) and 3-0 record as the betting underdog ($300). For another notable trend, the Cardinals are 10-2 ATS from their last 12 games of the weekly opponent rushing for 125-plus yards the previous outing ($780). After eight weeks of play, the Cardinals’ explosive offense ranks fourth overall in scoring offense (30.8 points per game), eighth in rushing offense (128.8 yards per week), eighth in total offense (393.6 yards) and 10th in passing offense (264.9 yards per week).
San Francisco 49ers
Among the relevant trends here, the Niners are 24-31 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s minus-$1010 from a straight $110 bet. For that period, San Francisco posted painful ATS marks when playing at home (9-18, minus-$1080), representing the betting favorite (9-20, minus-$1300), taking on teams with a winning record (12-13, minus-$230) and facing NFC competition (16-26, minus-$1260). The ATS numbers for 2021 are on similarly deflating, at 2-5 overall (minus-$350), 0-3 at home (minus-$330), 2-4 as the betting favorite (minus-$240) and 0-4 when kicking off in the Pacific Time Zone (minus-$440). Citing other notable trends, the Niners are 7-1 ATS from their last eight November games against the Cardinals ($590). Conversely, San Francisco has an 0-5 ATS record against Arizona, when the Cards scored 24 or fewer points the previous week (minus-$550). Eight weeks into the season, the 49ers offense ranks 12th overall in rushing offense (123.7 ground yards per week), 14th in total offense (369.7 yards per game), 15th in scoring offense (24.0 points per week) and 16th in passing offense (246.0 yards per game).
The Cardinals have eclipsed the Over 17 times in their last 40 games, including one push, dating back to 2019 (minus-$720). Conversely, the 49ers tallied a 20-18-1 record with the Over ($20) during the same timeline of regular-season action. All combined, that’s a 37-40-2 track record with the Over (minus-$700) or, if betting the Under, minus-$70. Arizona and San Francisco are 3-5 and 4-3 with the Over, respectively, for a combined 7-8 (minus-$180).
For another notable trend, the Cardinals are 1-8 with the Over (minus-$780), when tracking the team’s last nine games of an NFC West opponent having implied odds to win at 60 percent or higher. Note that Kyler Murray (ankle) has not practiced as of Friday and has played poorly in the past when hampered by injury.