WEEK 3: SUNDAY AFTERNOON
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Rams (Line: +1, O/U: 55.5)
Among the relevant trends here, the Bucs are 23-24-3 against the spread (ATS) over the last three-plus seasons. That’s minus-$340 from a straight $110 bet. In that period, Tampa Bay posted subpar ATS marks when serving as the betting favorite (11-14-1 … minus-$440) and facing NFC competition (17-20-1 … minus-$500).
On the plus side, when charting the Tom Brady era (2020-21 regular seasons), the Bucs possess a 3-2 ATS record during the month of September ($80).
After two weeks of 2021 action, the Bucs rank first overall in scoring offense (39.5 points per game), fifth in passing offense (319.0 yards per contest), 14th in total offense (386.0 yards per game) … but only 31st in team rushing (67.0 yards per contest).
Among the relevant trends, Los Angeles owns a 27-21-2 ATS record since the 2018 season ($390), including ATS marks of 13-10-2 at home ($200) and 22-14-1 versus NFC competition during the same stretch of regular-season games ($660).
Covering the last two-plus seasons, the Rams have an 8-10 ATS record coming off a straight-up victory (minus-$300); and for the brief Matthew Stafford era (two games), Los Angeles has a 1-1 record with ATS (minus-$10).
After two weeks of NFL action, L.A. ranks fifth overall in scoring offense (30.5 points per contest), seventh overall in passing offense (291.0 yards per game), 16th in total offense (378.5 yards per contest) and 25th in team rushing (87.5 yards per game).
Tampa Bay has toppled the Over 22 times in its last 34 games (dating back to 2019 … $990), which includes one push. On the flip side, Los Angeles has a 13-21 record with the Over (minus-$1010) during the same span of regular-season games. All combined, that’s a 34-32-1 track record with the Over (minus-$120 or, if betting the Under, minus-$540).
In other notable trends, the Bucs have eclipsed the Over 11 times in their last 12 games when traveling more than 1,000 miles. Conversely, Tampa Bay has a 1-7 ATS mark from its last eight games of averaging 30 points or more (minus-$670). For the Rams’ last 11 games as a betting underdog, the club owns a 10-1 record with surpassing the Over ($890).
Also, Los Angeles has fallen below the Under in eight of its last nine games of being a money-line underdog beyond +100. That’s a minus-$780 when betting the Under, or $690 when taking the Over in that money-line scenario.